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Market Update

Third Consecutive Month of Higher Than Expected Inflation: March CPI Report

The Consumer Price Index was up 3.5 percent over the year through March, up from 3.2 percent in February. The core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, remained steady at 3.8 percent, surpassing the consensus prediction of a 3.7 percent rise. The persistently high core rate indicates underlying inflationary pressures, unchanged from the previous month, defying expectations of a...

Inflation Higher than Expected: February CPI Report

            Inflation was up 3.2 percent over the year through February, up from 3.1 percent in January – a monthly increase of 0.4 percent. The core inflation, the measure that excludes volatile energy and food prices, was up 3.8 percent, greater than expected but down from last month’s 3.9 percent. The owners’ equivalent rent, which...

Did the Fed Get it Right?

Inflation was up 3.4 percent year-over-year through December, up from 3.1 percent in November – a monthly increase of 0.3 percent. The core inflation, a measure that excludes energy and food prices, was up 3.9 percent over the twelve months through December, down from 4.0 percent in November. This marks the first time the core index dropped below 4 percent since May of 2021. The monthly core inflation...

Inflation Higher than Expected

Inflation Higher than Expected: August ReportInflation was up 3.7 percent year-over-year through August, up from 3.2 percent in July – a monthly increase of 0.6 percent. The core inflation, a measure that excludes energy and food prices, was up 4.3 percent over the twelve months through August, down from 4.7 percent in July. The monthly core inflation in August was 0.3 percent – a bigger increase than...

Has Inflation Peaked?

OCTOBER CPI REPORT COOLER THAN EXPECTED Inflation in October was up 7.7 percent year-over-year, down from 8.2 percent in the previous month. The Core CPI, a less volatile measure that excludes energy and food prices, increased 6.3 percent, down from 6.6 percent in the year through September. Even though still running at a historically high pace, the CPI at 7.7 percent is less than the 7.9 percent that...

CPI Report

Despite the lower gas prices, which have fallen for 91 straight days, inflation rose 8.3 percent in August from the prior year. Compared to 8.5 percent in July. The August report is disappointing as the economists and experts expected a more pronounced decline in CPI growth. On the news, the S&P 500 dropped over 4 percent, the largest drop in the index since June 2020. The decline in fuel...

Recession

GDP Declines for the Second Consecutive Quarter: Are We in a Recession? On July 28th, the first reading on Q2 GDP was released showing a contraction of 0.9 percent. This is following the Q1 contraction of 1.6 percent. The decline of GDP for two consecutive quarters is widely considered to be a recession. In the US, however, a definition is more expansive. The National Bureau of Economic Research, a...

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